| [ QuizWit ] in KIDS 글 쓴 이(By): dkkang (질투는내힘) 날 짜 (Date): 2001년 11월 16일 금요일 오후 01시 32분 40초 제 목(Title): 병에 걸렸을 확률 숙제로 나왔던 문제 중 하나를 냅니다. (Russell & Norvig Ex 14.3) 인터넷을 찾아보면 답이 나옵니다. After your yearly checkup, the doctor has bad news and good news. The bad news is that you tested positive for a serious disease, and that the test is 99% accurate (that is, the probability of testing positive given that you have the disease is 0.99, as is the probability of testing negative given that you don’t have the disease). The good news is that this is a rare disease, striking only one in 10,000 people. Why is it good news that the disease is rare? What are the chances that you actually have the disease? |